sv3672;n7638280 said:
As far as I know, pre-production of CP2077 started around 2013, and the game has been in full development since the release of Wild Hunt. If it takes a similar amount of time, then 2018 is realistic, maybe early 2018 as the initial plan, and possibly delayed into late 2018. With some luck, some of the game could be shown later this year (E3?).
You have to look at the development time of CDPR's previous games... and that has been that every ~4 years a new Witcher game has come out (2007, 2011 and 2015). So with that as a background I don't think that we will see CP2077 untill 2019 at the earliest.
One thing which a lot of people seem to not know, or understand, is that the development of these games, atleast games made by the bigger gaming companies (like for example CDPR), starts long befor they have finished making their previous/current game. This is due to the fact that if they did not do it that way, then a pretty big portion of their employees would be sitting around not having anything to do at all, which would mean they would have to fire people. But... to make sure they don't have to fire people, make sure they have something to do every day at work, make sure the company does not waste a lot of money in trying to hire new people every few years due to something like this... they start developing new games roughly around the time where people working on the early portions of games are getting finished with their part of the previous/current game. So the development time that most people see is
"Oh there where 4 years between all of their games... that must mean that it takes them 4 years to make games."... but the truth is, as I said, they started making the game befor then, and as such the true development time for a game which seems to have a 4 year development cycle, is probably closer to 5-7 years. I would not be surpriced if CDPR started working on The Witcher 3 as far back as 2009-2010, so a year or two befor Witcher 2 even had come out.
And as such I do asume that this is also very much so the case here with The Witcher 3 and Cyberpunk 2077 development. Which means that 2018 is probably a bit to optimistic to belive would be the release year, since that would only be 3 years rather then their standard ~4 years between games.
You have to remember that CDPR has not made a sci-fi game befor, they have spent the last 10-15+ years in making only fantasy games with the Witcher. Which means they have to deal with a lot of things they did not have to previously, and such things can take time. They have, or are, also improving the game engine that they have so that it would be better suited for sci-fi gamers. CP2077 is apperantly also going to be a lot bigger then even Witcher 3 was, and that takes time to do. And yeah, sure that could maybe be compensated with the fact that CDPR is hiring a lot of new developers to their company... but a lot of those people, and a lot of the people who has been part of CDPR since befor this, will not be working on CP2077, they will rather be working on this other AAA game that CDPR is going to make. This other game has probably been in pre-production since about 2015 I would guess... since that is when the Witcher 3 came out, and that is probably when CP2077 came out of pre-production and started to get more and more people added to it's actual early development stuff, which means that the pre-production people would be slowly starting to move away from CP2077 and going over to their next project.
So as I mentioned befor... due to all this, I would asume that they will again have at the very least 4 years between their previous game (Witcher 3) and CP2077. But due to a lot of circumstances I would not be surpriced if they need to put in a little bit more work on the game (since they have never made a sci-fi game befor), so I would potentually add another year to that. Which then puts CP2077's relese somewhere around 2019-2020.
My guess for 2018 is that this will at best probably be the year where we might actually start to get some actual, proper, information about CP2077.