Sticking with the analogy, it would not matter one bit if the lottery company promised me I pulled a winner. There is a zero percent chance I'd blindly believe them
Sounds like somebodies been let down by companies before ; ) good for you buddy, you get a gold star for your embedded mistrust and forward thinkin! But, not for analogies : ( being told a specific day something is available is not the same as buying a ticket and hoping to win : / obviously, still a bad comparison.