One could say the same about Lockdown being as good as it is, being sad.Lippy was number 1 in pro???!!! That's just sad.
... despite having a lower winrate than at the very least 1 leader for every other faction.[...]
I wonder why Overwhelming Hunger was played so much... /s
I hope they don't kill of Lippy now because of that oppressive win rate and nerf Ursine Ritual or Cerys instead, we also need to consider that it took a while for the Meta to settle after the expansion release, the current months play and win rate looks most likely already a bit different, because right now it feels like I'm facing lockdown or NR Witchers 90 % of the time on Pro rank.
You definitely need to consider Snowdrop - one of the biggest actual boosts to the Lippy variant. Easily gets to 10+, synergises perfectly with your deck and grants additional draw/mulligan options, mitigating one of the biggest weaknesses of the deck, namely bricks.Thanks for the data.
My biggest surprises:
- Ursine Ritual number 1 in Pro and intense play rate. From the new cards Bear Witcher Quartermaster and Haern Caduch are probably the cards which add most value to this deck. Quartermaster serves as an additional enabler and Haern Caduch interacts greatly with Blueboy Lugos. Ursine Ritual is to my mind somehow vulnerable to banish (e.g. banish a Cerys in graveyard) and Ihuarraquax (if you make your opponent to summon Cerys or Lippy Gudmund you can really hurt your opponent.
- Overhelming hunger weaker than expected: Actually my guess was that Uprising is number 1 and number 2 is overhelming hunger. So one proof that Viy is not so dominant as many players argue.
- Very bad performance of SY leaders: Congregate is most dominant (I was guessing hidden cache). Very sad is the bad performance of the other SY leader. I was actually guessing that jackpot is not doing a bad job with Fallen Rayla and the new self-poison package. This should be first priorits for upcoming boosts.
At least a slight nerf will be necessary, one way or another. The deck is not unbeatable by any means, but considering it's relative ease-of-use, it can achieve a bit too good results.I hope they don't kill of Lippy now because of that oppressive win rate and nerf Ursine Ritual or Cerys instead, we also need to consider that it took a while for the Meta to settle after the expansion release, the current months play and win rate looks most likely already a bit different, because right now it feels like I'm facing lockdown or NR Witchers 90 % of the time on Pro rank.
Agreed. A slight nerf to UR to 15 provision would be in order (while at the same time I'd increase Reckless Flurry by 2 points).Nevertheless, to my mind this high provision boost of Ursine Ritual is not justified. Of course you can be unlucky and have no targets for self-wound but this is really bad luck if you play professionally.
Arachas Swarm is quite good vs Lippy, NG and no unit bomb madoc, weak vs NR witcher, SK warrior and ST movement. With new cards that support swarm: chimera, spontaneous evolution, location, I think MO swarm is pretty good. Each organic special card gives us 1 drone so:I was among the tiny % of people playing Stockpile, Royal Inspiration and Onslaught.
And this season I am among the masochists playing Arachas Swarm (idk why this one is 15 prov when it could be 16 considering how mediocre it is as an ability...).
This is my conjecture — and I can’t say I have a lot of evidence to back it.These results are a bit fishy... No conspiracy theory but it's omegaweird. Low results of Viy might be explained by the popularity of Lockdown and ST control. But the results of Lippy and the popularity of Viy? This just doesn't add up. Lippy is a textbook autolose vs. Viy. (Well, it's possible for Viy to miss Viy and all the tutors - 8 out of 9 cards to miss - but the matchup is virtually unwinnable, Lippy game plan is the same as Viy but just less powerful.)
From my point of view I am also absolutely suprised by that intense win rate of Ursine Ritual on Pro Rank.
Lets compare Cerys to her obvious counterparts of other fractions:
=> Probably I would also give Cerys 12 provisions and maybe 1 random damage for it
Lippy was particulary boosted by the provision nerf of Roach and Knickers (both minus 1). Maybe it might be fair if both have 9 provisions.
Regarding Ursine Ritual:
It´s the leader offering the highest provision boost (17). If you argue that each self damage brings 1 value and the bear abnomination brings 6 value. We have a total value of 5 + 6+ 17 = 28.
Rage of the sea has only 13 provision boost. And each leader charge brings 4 damage + 2 body siren. So we end up: 13 + 2*6 =25
Reckless fury is also a 15 + 8 = 23
Onslaught can be a 16 + 8 = 24 (assuming 16 turns, can be higher if round is longer e.g. via Matta)
Patricidal Fury is a 15 + 8 = 23 plus bloodthirst triggerer (to my mind still the strongest and most problematic SK leader).
Nevertheless, to my mind this high provision boost of Ursine Ritual is not justified. Of course you can be unlucky and have no targets for self-wound but this is really bad luck if you play professionally.