Kegs Drop-rate Analysis (Premium, Silver, Gold)

[partci]

... Definitely less then in the patches before this.

It was so visible for me, though some people say you get 1 Gold per every 20 kegs.

 

[VladAtheris]

You guys are lucky as fuck. I've opened around 55-60 kegs since patch and only got 2 golds. Now I'm sad I saved all those kegs. Should have opened them before patch.

 

[NlelithZ44]

I got 5 golds out of 100 kegs, which is roughly the same amount as usual, maybe slightly less. I didn't count silvers, though, and forgot to record the whole process.

 

[betancurable]

I have been tracking my keg openings and I would like to share those results with you guys.

I saved 53 kegs to be opened after the update and legendary drops were poor:
- I got only 1 gold card.
- Epics were OK (13 in total, which is slightly below 25% change per keg)

However, in the weeks prior to the update I also opened 11 kegs without receiving a single gold or silver card. Pretty disappointing results if you ask me.

Funny thing is that gold and silver card drops occurred way more frequently when I was a low level player. In the starter pack, for example, I received 4 (!) legendaries without counting the guaranteed one (which did not come in a keg). Back then I was between lvl 10 and 15, currently I'm lvl 30.

 

[x1Cygnus]

[SNIP] I have been tracking my keg openings... [/SNIP]

Same here.
I've had 3x Gold out of 73 kegs (Cahir, Ermion and Vernon R).
Silvers I've done a little better: Reinforcement, Stennis, Fringilla, Abaya, Vanhemar, Weavess and Cantarella.

I've had a few of the animated ones, but I don't keep track of those as none of them were Silver or Gold.

It doesn't bother me that much as I've only ever paid for one batch of kegs when I first started; all the rest have been from ore/rewards and I've usually gotten enough scraps through milling and GG's to make the cards I want.

 

[partci]

I haven't seen a Gold Card in over 30 kegs now.


Starting to get PISSED!

 

[partci]

I had to open my mouth to get a Premium Brewess: Ritual.

Now I'm calm and happy. :hatsoff:

 

[mfool123]

Ya I feel like the drop rate for golds has gone down with the midwinter patch but thats just because I need so many new golds, do the new leader cards drop in kegs?

 

[Draconifors]

do the new leader cards drop in kegs?

Yes, they do.

 

[altaybek]

Once I got 2 Golds from one keg. After seeing all the odds, seems I got pretty lucky. Is there anyone got 3+ Golds from one keg?

 

[Usk_Khotar]

Opened 45 kegs so far and 1 legendary? How is that possible? Come on

In past 10 kegs I got 2 gold and ?2-3 silver?
Its % chance.

 

[m0bius8]

Has anyone noticed, how after the patch, 70% to 80% of the time the first 4 cards are Common? Or is that just me.. Anyway, I just bought 11 (7+2+2) Kegs and got 3 Legendaries out of which one was Premium. What's more, prior to the opening I didn't have any of the 3 Legendaries! So this was probably my best Keg opening to date lol

 

[4RM3D]

NOTE: Updated stats with the Midwinter patch.

 

[MaroonJack]

Saved some kegs before the Midwinter patch and bought the Shupe's Holiday Bag o’ Kegs. All in all about 60 kegs. I got one legend and about 10 silvers (honestly didn't count, could have been 12). Major disappointment. Probably not going to spend any more money on that game.

 

[masterring]

In every keg is now one or two Premium cards ... Is not bad, i get 19 kegs from season end so guaranteed 19 rare premium cards ... But of course, from 19 kegs , no single Gold card!!!!!!!!!!!

GUYS READ THIS

I have opened 33 kegs, and Cougar 19 kegs - 52 kegs No single Gold

So it seems you get the premium but drop rate on Gold is 0 percent or maybe 0.001 percent

In 33 KEGS - 4 Silvers

 

[HTMekkatorque]

Yeah I experienced this also...

I opened up 20 kegs on my account no legendaries.

I then opened up 10 kegs for a friend, no legendaries.

I'm like atleast 50 kegs across two accounts without a legendary, someone needs to blow on my dice or... I should really stop opening my friends kegs cause I'm just cursed right now.

 

[masterring]

So adding to two account now three more accounts. Thas 6 accounts and total is

120 Kegs - No legendaries?????

Someone screwed probability chance in code or is it intentional. Still no single person responded it got legendary

 

[Ferboyras]

I got a legendary in the last section. Could choose between premium Kambi, Seltkirk or Vattier. To prove the probability thing we'd need actual stats (but I believe CDPR would have told us).

 

[m0bius8]

So adding to two account now three more accounts. Thas 6 accounts and total is

120 Kegs - No legendaries?????

Someone screwed probability chance in code or is it intentional. Still no single person responded it got legendary

I'm afraid it's just bad luck on your end. I got 2 Premium Legendaries from my 17 kegs..

 

[FG15-ISH7EG]

I got a lot of silvers and also some golds in 18 kegs. It felt as if the chances for them are higher than before. Probably I got really lucky.