Special Statistics for cards from the shop
When opening card kegs, I noticed a few things which aren't covered by the other thread, because they are more specific. Therefore I'd like to create this thread to collect some more information.
The first thing I noticed was, that it seems to be much more likely (at least for me) to get cards from the shop, which I don't own already (or at least the new cards form the update). When the Gold immunity update launched there were a lot of new cards and I got a lot of barrels as a reward. So the first week I wrote down everything I got from the shop. To give some background information, I owned every single bronze card 3 times already except the Clan Dimmun Pirate Captain (only once) and the Light Longship (only twice). So basically all the bronze unowned Bronze cards I got from the shop were the new ones.
In that week I opened 43 kegs and got a lot of new cards.
-8 new rare cards from the first 4 cards
-3 new common cards from the first 4 cards
-21 new rare cards from the descision
-1 new animated rare card from the descision
-1 new silver card from the descision
To compare this, I got at the same timme only 7 rare cards which weren't new plus 1 animated not new rare card in the first 4 and 12+2 animated rare cards which weren't new.
That gives me a rate of 8 old rares versus 8 new rares in the first 4 cards and 14 versus 22 in the last descision. What crooks my statistics a bit, is that I forgot to note the cases where I had to descide between more than 1 new rare card, but there quite a few, such that I will assume that I could descide at least 5 times between those.
So looking at all non animated rare cards, I could descide between 73 non new cards and 26 new cards, which is a ratio 3:1.
Concluded I had the ratio of 1:1 of old rare cards versus new in the first 4 cards and 3:1 in the descision between the 3 cards. In total there are 276 rare cards, and only 25 were new, such there should have been a ratio of 10:1, which clearly wasn't the case.
To sum it up, either I was extremly lucky, or it was more likely to get the new cards or it is more likely to get completly unowned cards.
As the size of my statistic is rather small, I'd like to ask if anyone had a similar experience.
The second thing that I noticed concerns the reaver hunters. While I get the first two on a normal probability from the shop, I get the third one with the dragon head behind him really often. Because I noticed that in the past I stopped milling anything for the past weeks. Before I had the first and the second RH once each and the third one only as an animated. Now, I have the first still once, the second one twice and the third one 5 times normal and twice animated.
The same question as before, has anybody experienced anything similar for the RH in particular or for other cards that are splitted in 3 parts?